J-B

John

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2021 Pro Forecaster

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Forecasted Questions

How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 30, 2021 07:42PM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2021 02:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 2%	28%	7%	+21%	+0%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive	29%	23%	+6%	+0%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6%	23%	33%	-10%	+0%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8%	12%	21%	-9%	-1%
More than 8%	8%	16%	-8%	+0%

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2021 01:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than -0.25	12%	14%	-2%	+0%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive	37%	31%	+6%	+0%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25	30%	33%	-3%	+1%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5	15%	17%	-2%	+0%
More than 0.5	6%	4%	+2%	+0%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2021 01:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2021 01:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2021 01:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2021 01:41PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 29, 2022 12:15PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 29, 2022 12:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 29, 2022 12:16PM UTC
(2 years ago)