Forecasted Questions
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 09, 2022 01:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 09, 2022 01:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Apple | 38% | 48% | -10% | +14% |
Microsoft | 27% | 22% | +5% | +3% |
Alphabet (Google) | 18% | 13% | +5% | -3% |
Amazon | 14% | 10% | +4% | -6% |
Tesla | 1% | 3% | -2% | -4% |
Meta (Facebook) | 2% | 1% | +1% | -4% |
Other | 0% | 2% | -2% | -1% |
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 09:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 30, 2022 09:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 28, 2023 12:09PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 28, 2023 12:09PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 4% | 0% | +4% | -1% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Dec 28, 2023 12:17PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 28, 2023 12:17PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 28, 2023 12:17PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Nov 28, 2023 to May 28, 2024 | Dec 28, 2023 | 1% | -1% | +0% |