Forecasted Questions
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2022 06:13AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 29, 2022 06:13AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Intel | 0% | 16% | -16% | -1% |
Samsung | 45% | 53% | -8% | -2% |
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 55% | 30% | +25% | +2% |
Other | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 12, 2022 08:37AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 12, 2022 08:37AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 5% | 0% | 5% | -5% | +0% |
More than or equal to 5% but less than 7% | 100% | 73% | +27% | +5% |
More than or equal to 7% | 0% | 22% | -22% | -5% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 12:18PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Jan 31, 2024 12:18PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Mar 29, 2024 11:30AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 29, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Feb 29, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Feb 29, 2024 to Aug 29, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(4 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(4 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 16, 2024 05:02AM UTC
(19 days ago)
Apr 16, 2024 05:02AM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | 0% | +2% | +0% |