JorgeVillan

Jorge Villan
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Forecasted Questions

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Sep 1, 2023 01:47AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2023 01:47AM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% Aug 1, 2023 to Feb 1, 2024 Sep 1, 2023 1%

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

As of Jan 1, 2024 12:46AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2023 12:46AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 1, 2023 to Apr 1, 2024 Jan 1, 2024 0%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?

As of Apr 30, 2024 04:19AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 04:19AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 2% Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 Apr 30, 2024 14%
No 98% Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 Apr 30, 2024 86%
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