Forecasted Questions
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Sep 1, 2023 01:47AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2023 01:47AM UTC
(10 months ago)
Aug 01, 2023 01:47AM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 1% | Aug 1, 2023 to Feb 1, 2024 | Sep 1, 2023 | 1% | +1% | +0% |
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
As of Jan 1, 2024 12:46AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2023 12:46AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Oct 01, 2023 12:46AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Oct 1, 2023 to Apr 1, 2024 | Jan 1, 2024 | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
As of Apr 30, 2024 04:19AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 04:19AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 04:19AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 2% | Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | 14% | -12% | +2% |
No | 98% | Mar 31, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | 86% | +12% | -2% |