JorgeVillan

Jorge Villan
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From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 31, 2023 02:39AM UTC
(11 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 49 0% 91%
Between 50 and 99, inclusive 6% 8%
Between 100 and 149, inclusive 80% 0%
Between 150 and 199, inclusive 14% 0%
More than or equal to 200 0% 0%

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 31, 2023 09:43PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 86% 14%
No 14% 86%

For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 31, 2024 04:05AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
2023 Q2 0% 0%
2023 Q3 0% 0%
2023 Q4 0% 0%
2024 Q1 2% 1%
2024 Q2 2% 1%
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