Forecasted Questions
Will the Brothers of Italy Party (FdI) win the most seats in the 2022 Italian general election?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 25, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 25, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 18, 2022 04:07AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 18, 2022 04:07AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 02, 2022 03:58AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 02, 2022 03:58AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 07, 2022 05:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 07, 2022 05:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $5 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $5 billion but less than or equal to $6 billion | Answer was correct | |||
| Between $6 billion and $7 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $7 billion and $8 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $8 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
How much will On Running earn in net sales from shoes in Q4 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 07, 2022 05:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 07, 2022 05:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 300 million CHF | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 300 million CHF but less than 350 million CHF | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 350 million CHF | Answer was correct | |||
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 27, 2022 06:27PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 27, 2022 06:27PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of ASML's lithography sales will be to the United States in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 27, 2022 07:26PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 27, 2022 07:26PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 5% but less than 10% | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 10% and 15%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 15% | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 31, 2022 08:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 08:43AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $320 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $320 billion but less than or equal to $350 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $350 billion and $380 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $380 billion and $410 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $410 billion | Answer was correct | |||
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2023 07:42AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 31, 2023 07:42AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2023 07:49AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 31, 2023 07:49AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month?
As of Feb 28, 2023 07:55AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2023 07:55AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 31, 2023 07:55AM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||