Confirmed previous forecast
-0.127387
Relative Brier Score
668
Forecasts
34
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 60 | 179 | 2428 | 668 | 2431 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
| Questions Forecasted | 40 | 42 | 105 | 49 | 105 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 4 | 10 | 140 | 34 | 140 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to May 29, 2024
93%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to May 29, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025
90%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
92%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files