Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2021 12:01PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 12, 2021 12:01PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 20% | 35% | -15% | +0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2021 05:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 11, 2021 05:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2022 09:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 27, 2022 09:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2022 05:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 25, 2022 05:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Intel | 7% | 16% | -9% | -9% |
Samsung | 55% | 53% | +2% | -11% |
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 38% | 30% | +8% | +20% |
Other | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 26, 2024 03:47PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Jan 26, 2024 03:47PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Mar 12, 2024 06:41PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 12, 2024 06:41PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 12, 2024 06:41PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Feb 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2024 | Mar 12, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(4 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(4 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 03:28AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 03:28AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |