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Forecasted Questions

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 12, 2021 12:01PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 20% 35%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2021 05:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 27, 2022 09:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2022 05:56AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Intel 7% 16%
Samsung 55% 53%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) 38% 30%
Other 0% 0%

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 26, 2024 03:47PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Mar 12, 2024 06:41PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 12, 2024 06:41PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Feb 12, 2024 to Aug 12, 2024 Mar 12, 2024 1%

Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(4 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 03:28AM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
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