Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 04:02AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 04:02AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2020 01:02PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 27, 2020 01:02PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2020 11:54AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 31, 2020 11:54AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $200 million | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2020 04:58PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 20, 2020 04:58PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $190 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $310 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 20, 2020 04:32PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 20, 2020 04:32PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 3% and 5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 5% but less than or equal to 7% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 7% but less than or equal to 9% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 9% | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 23, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $440 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $590 billion | Answer was correct | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 08, 2020 12:26PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 08, 2020 12:26PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||