Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2020 05:36PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 05:36PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 12, 2020 02:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 12, 2020 02:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was correct | |||
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 12, 2020 03:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 12, 2020 03:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 08, 2021 09:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 08, 2021 09:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 08, 2021 09:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 08, 2021 09:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zero | Answer was correct | |||
| One | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Two or more | Answer was incorrect | |||
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?
As of Apr 11, 2022 02:07PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 11, 2022 02:07PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 11, 2022 02:07PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||||
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 11, 2022 02:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 11, 2022 02:18PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||