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Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 31, 2020 03:49AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2020 11:32PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 30, 2020 02:37AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2020 04:42AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 28, 2021 10:05PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Zero Answer was correct
One Answer was incorrect
Two or more Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 26, 2021 01:50AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of May 1, 2022 01:02AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 01, 2022 01:02AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 27, 2022 09:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 12:37PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 26, 2022 12:39PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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