Forecasted Questions
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2020 12:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 29, 2020 12:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 07, 2020 11:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 07, 2020 11:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 54,000 | Answer was correct | |||
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 13, 2020 07:18PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 13, 2020 07:18PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 2% | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 6.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2020 05:54PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 30, 2020 05:54PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 30, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before February 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| After November 17, 2021 | Answer was correct | |||