Forecasted Questions
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2023 04:05AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 01, 2023 04:05AM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | -1% |
Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2023 04:27AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 01, 2023 04:27AM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | -2% |
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2024 04:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 04:42AM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 5% | -5% | -3% |
| No | 100% | 95% | +5% | +3% |