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Forecasted Questions

How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 26, 2021 05:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2021 10:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% 0% 7%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive 35% 23%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% 55% 33%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% 10% 21%
More than 8% 0% 16%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than -0.25 5% 14%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive 22% 31%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 50% 33%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 23% 17%
More than 0.5 0% 4%

How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 01, 2022 12:15AM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 01:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 14% 0% 3%
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive 15% 12%
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% 50% 31%
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% 35% 40%
More than 20% 0% 14%

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 01:39AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2022 07:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 28, 2022 10:36PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2023 04:05AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 0%
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