Forecasted Questions
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 26, 2021 05:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 26, 2021 05:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2021 10:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 29, 2021 10:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | 0% | 7% | -7% | +0% |
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive | 35% | 23% | +12% | +0% |
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | 55% | 33% | +22% | +0% |
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | 10% | 21% | -11% | +0% |
More than 8% | 0% | 16% | -16% | +0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 12:54AM UTC
(2 years ago)
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 12:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than -0.25 | 5% | 14% | -9% | +0% |
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 22% | 31% | -9% | +0% |
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 50% | 33% | +17% | +0% |
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 23% | 17% | +6% | 0% |
More than 0.5 | 0% | 4% | -4% | 0% |
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 01, 2022 12:15AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 01, 2022 12:15AM UTC
(2 years ago)
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 01:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 01:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 14% | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 15% | 12% | +3% | 0% |
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 50% | 31% | +19% | +0% |
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 35% | 40% | -5% | 0% |
More than 20% | 0% | 14% | -14% | +0% |
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2022 01:39AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 31, 2022 01:39AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2022 07:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 31, 2022 07:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 28, 2022 10:36PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 28, 2022 10:36PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(9 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(9 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2023 04:05AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 01, 2023 04:05AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | -1% |