jesspldn

Jess
About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 23, 2020 02:13PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 15% Answer was incorrect
Between 15% and 17%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% Answer was incorrect
More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% Answer was incorrect
More than 21% Answer was incorrect

Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2020 01:46AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2020 01:51AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2020 01:57AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 33%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 33% but less than or equal to 36% Answer was correct
More than 36% but less than or equal to 39% Answer was incorrect
More than 39% Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 28, 2020 01:58AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username