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By: INFER Team | Feb 09, 2024 01:10AM UTC
We're pleased to announce this new relationship, which will enable INFER to leverage RAND subject matter expertise as we aim to strengthen decision analysis within the U.S. government.
By: INFER Team | Jan 23, 2024 03:20PM UTC
INFER is pleased to share the Best of 2023 list, celebrating our most accurate and engaged forecasters from last season.
By: INFER Team | Dec 18, 2023 07:11PM UTC
We are concluding INFER’s second year of crowd forecasting following a year rife with uncertainty for policymakers. INFER’s community of forecasters parsed complex issues to make sense of critical events that will shape the future for years to come.
By: INFER Team | Sep 25, 2023 05:37PM UTC
A recap of a special forecasting event INFER hosted about the future of AI, attended by select INFER forecasters and nearly two dozen forecasting enthusiasts who work at Google, joining in a personal capacity.
By: Walter Frick | Jun 27, 2023 04:31PM UTC
All spring, the world waited for Ukraine’s counter-offensive against Russia to begin. Now that it is under way, policymakers around the world are closely monitoring its prospects. Forecasters at INFER are tracking the conflict, too, and predicting the amount of territory each side will hold by the end of the year.
By: INFER Team | May 10, 2023 01:28PM UTC
Last fall, INFER introduced a new Team Lead opportunity for forecasters who were interested in getting others in their community involved in crowd forecasting. Team Leads were tasked with recruiting and leading a team of forecasters in a six-month forecasting tournament that ended in April.
By: INFER Team | May 08, 2023 07:33PM UTC
Our forecasters have been asking for a mobile app – and we are excited to share that it is now available for INFER. You will now be able to submit forecasts on critical questions to support INFER’s government stakeholders directly from our native app on a phone or tablet.
By: INFER Team | Mar 23, 2023 04:55PM UTC
By: INFER Team | Feb 21, 2023 10:34PM UTC
INFER is pleased to announce a collaboration with Cosmic Bazaar, the crowdsourced forecasting program run by the UK’s Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment (PHIA).
By: INFER Team | Feb 21, 2023 10:33PM UTC
See who made the Best of 2022 and help us recognize their outstanding contributions.
By: INFER Team | Dec 21, 2022 09:39PM UTC
As the inaugural season of INFER comes to an end, we wanted to take a moment to reflect on some of our accomplishments as a community, our lessons learned, and also give you a glimpse of new initiatives we’re excited to share with you in 2023.
By: INFER Team | Dec 12, 2022 02:18PM UTC
INFER is pleased to announce that the Pro Forecaster Program will continue into the 2023 season. Up to 100 Pro Forecasters (“Pros”) are being selected for the program, which includes monthly payment for dedicated forecasting and exclusive training and events.
By: Henry Tolchard | Oct 06, 2022 03:39PM UTC
What did EA student groups from universities across the globe learn during INFER's first forecasting tournament? The winning team, many of whom were first-time forecasters, share their thoughts!
Sneak peek: Forecaster training program coming soon; Pros begin this week with an open-source research training
By: INFER Team | Sep 06, 2022 06:52PM UTC
By: INFER Team | Jul 08, 2022 05:10PM UTC
Meet Dawna Coutant and Ryan Beck, our community mentors! You may have seen notes and comments on our discussion boards from these two Pro Forecasters aimed to help you in your own forecasting. Get to know them, how they approach forecasting, and their advice for honing your skills.
By: Zev Burton | May 26, 2022 09:00PM UTC
In the first "By the Numbers," we explore the number of forecasts, how accurate forecasters were, and many other statistics about INFER forecasts during the month of April.
By: Henry Tolchard | Apr 20, 2022 06:50PM UTC
INFER has launched its first tournament for effective altruism (EA) student groups. EA groups from top universities around the world are learning forecasting techniques and putting skills into practice in an attempt to be more accurate in predicting the future.
By: INFER Team | Feb 02, 2022 04:49PM UTC
We've launched the 2022 Pro Forecaster program, comprised of 100 forecasters paid to dedicate time to forecasting, collaborating with other Pros, and attending exclusive trainings and events. Here's what's new for 2022, why INFER is investing in growing the program -- and how you can become a Pro!