How many AI related patents will be published in the U.S. in 2022?Make a forecast
How many AI scientific publications will be published by EU institutions in 2022?Make a forecast
How many AI related patents will be published in China in 2022?Make a forecast
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?Make a forecast
What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?Make a forecast
Will the U.S. retain its competitive advantage in AI?
How will the U.S. tech sector develop over the coming years?
How will diplomatic relations evolve and impact the global landscape?
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Academic researchers and professors
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INFER Public is designed to generate valuable signals and early warning about the future of critical science and technology trends and events. This is the public portion of INFER and is one of multiple forecasting sites to be operated as part of this program.
INFER is supporting U.S. Government policymakers and is run by the Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security (ARLIS) at the University of Maryland and Cultivate Labs. Funding has been provided by a grant from Open Philanthropy.How INFER Works
13 Jun 2022
Read more about our forecasting platform and how your participation is critical to increase the “wisdom” of our crowd.view faq
Submit your probabilistic forecasts based on news sources or your own experience;
Share the rationales of your forecasts to give the context for your thinking and upvote the rationales of other forecasts that you agree with; and
When a forecast question is closed, compare your performance with other participants and the consensus to learn where your forecasts can improve.