DanAGS

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Forecasted Questions

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 14, 2024 02:26PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 90% 80%
No 10% 20%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 14, 2024 02:40PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 20% May 14, 2024 to May 14, 2025 Aug 14, 2024 8%
No 80% May 14, 2024 to May 14, 2025 Aug 14, 2024 92%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 10% May 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025 Jun 16, 2024 15%
No 90% May 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025 Jun 16, 2024 85%

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2024 06:30PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kharkiv 55% 52%
Kyiv 2% 3%
Odesa 1% 3%
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