Forecasted Questions
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 14, 2024 02:26PM UTC
(4 days ago)
May 14, 2024 02:26PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 90% | 80% | +10% | +0% |
No | 10% | 20% | -10% | +0% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 14, 2024 02:40PM UTC
(4 days ago)
May 14, 2024 02:40PM UTC
(4 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 20% | May 14, 2024 to May 14, 2025 | Aug 14, 2024 | 8% | +12% | -2% |
No | 80% | May 14, 2024 to May 14, 2025 | Aug 14, 2024 | 92% | -12% | +2% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(2 days ago)
May 16, 2024 06:17PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 10% | May 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2024 | 15% | -5% | -2% |
No | 90% | May 16, 2024 to May 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2024 | 85% | +5% | +2% |
Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 16, 2024 06:30PM UTC
(2 days ago)
May 16, 2024 06:30PM UTC
(2 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kharkiv | 55% | 52% | +3% | -5% |
Kyiv | 2% | 3% | -1% | +0% |
Odesa | 1% | 3% | -2% | +0% |