34th
Accuracy Rank

Paul_Rowan

About:
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-0.195551

Relative Brier Score

110

Forecasts

2

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 2 10 497 110 1595
Comments 0 0 9 4 60
Questions Forecasted 2 9 54 18 125
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 6 2 31
 Definitions
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Jun 11, 2024 to Dec 11, 2024
98% (0%)
No
Jun 11, 2024 to Dec 11, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
3% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
97% (0%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
0% (0%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
0% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Jun 3, 2024 to Dec 3, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Paul_Rowan
made their 22nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
2023 Q2
0% (0%)
2023 Q3
0% (0%)
2023 Q4
1% (0%)
2024 Q1
1% (0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Paul_Rowan
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Updating with crowd

Files
New Prediction
Files
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