Confirmed previous forecast
0.305528
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 37 |
Comments | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 30, 2024 06:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39%
(0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
61%
(0%)
No
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
74%
(0%)
Yes
26%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
This forecast expired on May 28, 2024 07:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
61%
(0%)
No
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Why do you think you're right?
I think state department will lead to two state solution and it will tamper it
Why might you be wrong?
I could be early with prediction but not wrong