Roy_C

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0.305528

Relative Brier Score

8

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 2 23 8 36
Comments 0 0 5 2 12
Questions Forecasted 0 2 7 3 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Roy_C
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39% (0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
61% (0%)
No
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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Roy_C
earned a new badge:

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New Prediction
Roy_C
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 28, 2024 07:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39% (0%)
Yes
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
61% (0%)
No
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
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Roy_C
earned a new badge:

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Very likely no because it is critical for Russia to have consistent leadership as security. 

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Why might you be wrong?

Ukraine war is cheapest effort for US to take over Russia. If they can justify Ukranian displacement to continue war then then they can also find someone internally to replace him. Very unlikely because Putin has serious loyalty 

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Roy_C
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