Roy_C

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0.305528

Relative Brier Score

9

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 23 9 37
Comments 0 1 5 3 13
Questions Forecasted 0 1 7 3 11
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Badge
Roy_C
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Roy_C
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20% (-19%)
Yes
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024
80% (+19%)
No
Jun 29, 2024 to Dec 29, 2024
Why do you think you're right?

I think state department will lead to two state solution and it will tamper it

Files
Why might you be wrong?

I could be early with prediction but not wrong

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Roy_C
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Roy_C
made their 4th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jun 30, 2024 06:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39% (0%)
Yes
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
61% (0%)
No
May 31, 2024 to Nov 30, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Roy_C
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Roy_C
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on May 28, 2024 07:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
39% (0%)
Yes
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
61% (0%)
No
Apr 28, 2024 to Oct 28, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Roy_C
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

Files
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