38th
Accuracy Rank

Yifan

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Forecasted Questions

Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:21PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 50% 56%
No 50% 44%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:27PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 14%
No 99% 86%

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:35PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 49 99% 95%
Between 50 and 99, inclusive 1% 4%
Between 100 and 149, inclusive 0% 0%
Between 150 and 199, inclusive 0% 0%
More than or equal to 200 0% 0%

From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:37PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 499 100% 99%
Between 500 and 999, inclusive 0% 1%
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive 0% 0%
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive 0% 0%
More than or equal to 2000 0% 0%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 05:42PM UTC
(12 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 20% Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 May 30, 2024 19%
No 80% Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 May 30, 2024 81%
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