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Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2021 04:28AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 15, 2024 10:26PM UTC
(4 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	0%	+0%	+0%

As of Apr 28, 2024 03:55PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 28, 2024 03:55PM UTC
(1 month ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	Mar 28, 2024 to Sep 28, 2024	Apr 28, 2024	1%	-1%	+0%

As of Apr 30, 2024 04:11PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2024 04:11PM UTC
(1 month ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	15%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	11%	+4%	-1%
No	85%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	89%	-4%	+1%

As of Apr 30, 2024 04:11PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2024 04:11PM UTC
(1 month ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	3%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	4%	-1%	+2%
No	97%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	96%	+1%	-2%

As of Apr 30, 2024 05:01PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2024 05:01PM UTC
(1 month ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	3%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	16%	-13%	+4%
No	97%	Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024	Apr 30, 2024	84%	+13%	-4%

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(11 days ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 27, 2024 08:09PM UTC
(15 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	1%	0%	+1%	+0%

Yifan