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Yifan

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Forecasted Questions
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Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 01:46AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 01:49AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 01:55AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 01:58AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 675 Answer was correct
Between 675 and 750, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 750 but less than or equal to 825 Answer was incorrect
More than 825 but less than or equal to 900 Answer was incorrect
More than 900 Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 31, 2020 03:51AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 18, 2020 01:58AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 24, 2021 08:33PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 27, 2021 08:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 24, 2022 03:44AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Aug 25, 2022 07:30PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 25, 2022 07:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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