Forecasted Questions
Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 17, 2023 01:52PM UTC
(7 months ago)
Oct 17, 2023 01:52PM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
| No | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month?
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Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Nov 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2023 11:10PM UTC
(7 months ago)
Oct 30, 2023 11:10PM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Dec 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 08, 2023 05:41PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 08, 2023 05:41PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 7% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 7% but less than 12% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 12% but less than 17% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 17% but less than 22% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than or equal to 22% | Answer was incorrect | |||
From 1 January 2023 to 31 December 2023, will ACLED record 5,000 fatalities from battles and remote violence between Azerbaijani and Armenian security forces?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 13, 2023 12:51AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 13, 2023 12:51AM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?
Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts
12 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 13, 2023 12:52AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 13, 2023 12:52AM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Myanmar hold national elections on or before 31 December 2023?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 13, 2023 12:52AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 13, 2023 12:52AM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader before 1 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Mar 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 16, 2024 04:56PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 16, 2024 04:56PM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||