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Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 31, 2020 04:04PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 13, 2020 11:51PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 29, 2020 03:03PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 29, 2020 07:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 29, 2021 06:38PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 29, 2021 06:38PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 29, 2021 06:38PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 26, 2022 06:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 29, 2022 04:06PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5 Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20 Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month?

As of Aug 13, 2022 03:22PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 13, 2022 03:22PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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