bsolari

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0.023853

Relative Brier Score

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0

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No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 0 0 20
Comments 0 0 0 0 12
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 9
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 1
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bsolari
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Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023

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Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023

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Upvotes Received

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

It must be an authoritarian country considering the short time. Key ones already banned chat gpt. https://www.pcguide.com/apps/countries-chatgpt-not-available/

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Why might you be wrong?

Some soft autocracy may still ban it.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Too short time, too much bureaucracy

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Why might you be wrong?

some authoritarian country may do it. eg: North korea

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ctsats
made a comment:
Again, please notice that North Korea is not in the list of supported countries, as they have already banned it - hence they are irrelevant for the question here!
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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Chat GPT is trained mostly with occidental text in english. I believe countrys like chine would prefer a tool like that to be trained with their own texts

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Why might you be wrong?

It may take a little bit longer.

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ctsats
made a comment:

Please notice that the question essentially does not apply to China, as the Chinese have already banned ChatGPT and China is not in the current list of supported countries: https://platform.openai.com/docs/supported-countries

You can find a table with the countries not currently in the list in my post below: https://www.infer-pub.com/comments/83666

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

not clear yet how this may affect their Ad income and user engaging

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Why might you be wrong?

not clear yet how this may affect their Ad income and user engaging

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earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Will allow Microsoft to acquire more market share in the search engines market

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Why might you be wrong?
If the product is not yet ready
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New Prediction
bsolari
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
90% (0%)
Japan
90% (0%)
The Netherlands
95% (0%)
South Korea
95% (0%)
Any other country not listed
Confirmed previous forecast
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