Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2020 07:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 07:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 05, 2020 03:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 05, 2020 03:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $400 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $400 billion and $480 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $480 billion but less than or equal to $560 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $560 billion but less than or equal to $640 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $640 billion | Answer was correct | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 10, 2020 06:44AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 10, 2020 06:44AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 15, 2020 05:39AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 15, 2020 05:39AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 0.25 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 0.25 and 0.3, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 0.3 but less than or equal to 0.35 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 0.35 but less than or equal to 0.4 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 0.4 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 26, 2020 01:43AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 26, 2020 01:43AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2020 12:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 27, 2020 12:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2020 04:57AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 30, 2020 04:57AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 80% | Answer was correct | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 18, 2020 09:24AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 18, 2020 09:24AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $20 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $30 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $30 billion and $40 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $50 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||