Forecasted Questions
Will YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter enable digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) on photos or videos in 2023?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2023 04:25PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 29, 2023 04:25PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
No | Answer was correct |
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2023 08:03PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 29, 2023 08:03PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than or equal to 24 | Answer was correct | |||
Between 25 and 34, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 35 and 44, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 45 and 54, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to 55 | Answer was incorrect |
Will Hezbollah launch a missile that impacts more than 10 kilometers into Israel over the next six months?
As of Mar 26, 2024 07:20PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 26, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
No | Answer was incorrect |
Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 14, 2024 03:35AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 14, 2024 03:35AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
No | Answer was incorrect |
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 02:48PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Apr 24, 2024 02:48PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |