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Forecasted Questions

Will YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, or Twitter enable digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) on photos or videos in 2023?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2023 04:25PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
No Answer was correct

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2023 08:03PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 24 Answer was correct
Between 25 and 34, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 35 and 44, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 45 and 54, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 55 Answer was incorrect

Will Hezbollah launch a missile that impacts more than 10 kilometers into Israel over the next six months?

As of Mar 26, 2024 07:20PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2024 07:20PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
No Answer was incorrect

Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 14, 2024 03:35AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
No Answer was incorrect

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 02:48PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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