Forecasted Questions
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2020 10:51PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 05, 2020 10:51PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $40 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $100 billion | Answer was incorrect |
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2020 11:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 05, 2020 11:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $440 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $590 billion | Answer was correct |
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2020 03:47AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 15, 2020 03:47AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $3.9 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $3.9 billion but less than or equal to $4.5 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $4.5 billion and $5.1 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $5.1 billion and $5.7 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $5.7 billion | Answer was correct |
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2020 05:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 04, 2020 05:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before February 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
After November 17, 2021 | Answer was correct |
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2020 06:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 22, 2020 06:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 80% | Answer was correct |
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 07, 2021 08:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 07, 2021 08:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 26,000 | Answer was correct | |||
Between 26,000 and 28,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 28,000 but less than or equal to 30,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 30,000 but less than or equal to 32,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 32,000 | Answer was incorrect |