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Forecasted Questions

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2020 10:51PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2020 11:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2020 03:47AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $3.9 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $3.9 billion but less than or equal to $4.5 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $4.5 billion and $5.1 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between $5.1 billion and $5.7 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $5.7 billion Answer was correct

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2020 05:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 22, 2020 06:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 07, 2021 08:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 26,000 Answer was correct
Between 26,000 and 28,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 28,000 but less than or equal to 30,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 30,000 but less than or equal to 32,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 32,000 Answer was incorrect
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