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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 10, 2020 07:46PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2020 02:31AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 02, 2021 02:47PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $13 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $25 billion Answer was correct

How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2021 01:15PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 70,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 70,000 and 90,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 90,000 but less than or equal to 110,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 110,000 but less than or equal to 130,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 130,000 Answer was correct

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2021 01:16PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2021 01:18PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 7,500 Answer was incorrect
Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 Answer was incorrect
More than 13,500 Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 18, 2021 01:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $470 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $470 billion and $540 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $610 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $610 billion but less than or equal to $680 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $680 billion Answer was correct
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