Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 21, 2020 02:53AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 21, 2020 02:53AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2021 01:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 31, 2021 01:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $20 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $30 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $30 billion and $40 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $40 billion and $50 billion, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $50 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 27, 2022 09:04PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 27, 2022 09:04PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 29, 2023 10:50PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 29, 2023 10:50PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 5 and 11, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 12 and 17, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 18 | Answer was incorrect | |||
On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 31, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(12 months ago)
May 31, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(12 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 28, 2023 04:03PM UTC
(12 months ago)
May 28, 2023 04:03PM UTC
(12 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 106 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 107 and 111, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| Between 112 and 116, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 117 | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 26, 2023 09:05PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Dec 26, 2023 09:05PM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 5% but less than 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than or equal to 6% | Answer was correct | |||
Will any TSMC fab in Taiwan be shut down for at least one day because of a non-scheduled emergency by 31 March 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 04:00PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 31, 2024 12:05AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 31, 2024 12:05AM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||