Himanshu

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Forecasted Questions

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 29, 2023 05:45AM UTC
(8 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 2%
No 90% 98%

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 31, 2023 03:36PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 4%
No 90% 96%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 06, 2024 10:05AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 0% 2%
Oman 0% 2%
Qatar 0% 2%
Saudi Arabia 15% 5%
Tunisia 0% 1%

Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(26 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 03:34AM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 16% 5%
No 84% 95%
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