Forecasted Questions
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 15, 2021 03:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 15, 2021 03:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 16, 2022 04:46AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 16, 2022 04:46AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 21, 2022 07:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 21, 2022 07:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 30% | 48% | -18% | +11% |
| Microsoft | 25% | 22% | +3% | +3% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 15% | 13% | +2% | -3% |
| Amazon | 10% | 10% | +0% | -5% |
| Tesla | 12% | 3% | +9% | -3% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 2% | 1% | +1% | -2% |
| Other | 6% | 2% | +4% | -1% |
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 10, 2022 11:35AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 10, 2022 11:35AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 08, 2022 04:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 08, 2022 04:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 10, 2022 03:40PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 10, 2022 03:40PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 35% | 16% | +19% | -13% |
| Samsung | 40% | 53% | -13% | -8% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 20% | 30% | -10% | +21% |
| Other | 5% | 0% | +5% | +0% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2022 01:03PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 31, 2022 01:03PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 7% | 7% | 43% | -36% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 7% but less than 10% | 74% | 53% | +21% | -2% |
| More than or equal to 10% | 19% | 4% | +15% | +1% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of May 22, 2023 04:45PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2023 04:45PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Apr 22, 2023 04:45PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | Apr 22, 2023 to Oct 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | 1% | +9% | -1% |
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
As of Jan 30, 2024 03:35AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 30, 2023 03:35AM UTC
(7 months ago)
Oct 30, 2023 03:35AM UTC
(7 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | Oct 30, 2023 to Apr 30, 2024 | Jan 30, 2024 | 0% | +2% | -1% |
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
As of Dec 29, 2023 02:31AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2023 02:31AM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 29, 2023 02:31AM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024 | Dec 29, 2023 | 18% | +42% | -43% |
| No | 40% | Nov 29, 2023 to May 29, 2024 | Dec 29, 2023 | 82% | -42% | +43% |