Update for time
-0.071542
Relative Brier Score
64
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 6 | 15 | 251 | 64 | 553 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 35 |
| Questions Forecasted | 6 | 12 | 47 | 20 | 79 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 40 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
91%
(+15%)
Less than or equal to 49
9%
(-14%)
Between 50 and 99, inclusive
0%
(-1%)
Between 100 and 149, inclusive
0%
(0%)
Between 150 and 199, inclusive
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 200
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
97%
(+7%)
Less than or equal to 499
3%
(-6%)
Between 500 and 999, inclusive
0%
(-1%)
Between 1000 and 1499, inclusive
0%
(0%)
Between 1500 and 1999, inclusive
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 2000
Update for time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-1%)
Yes
100%
(+1%)
No
Update for time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-2%)
Yes
95%
(+2%)
No
Update for time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
100%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 749
0%
(0%)
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive
1%
(-9%)
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive
97%
(+12%)
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive
2%
(-3%)
More than or equal to 3000
Update for time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than or equal to 749
0%
(0%)
Between 750 and 1499, inclusive
10%
(-2%)
Between 1500 and 2249, inclusive
85%
(+3%)
Between 2250 and 2999, inclusive
5%
(-1%)
More than or equal to 3000
Update for time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Update for time