Confirmed previous forecast
0.473196
Relative Brier Score
118
Forecasts
7
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 19 | 41 | 512 | 118 | 945 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 31 |
| Questions Forecasted | 19 | 21 | 72 | 28 | 139 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 1 | 2 | 32 | 7 | 66 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
New Prediction
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
99%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
100%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
95%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
11%
(0%)
Yes
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
89%
(0%)
No
Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Kuwait
0%
(0%)
Oman
1%
(0%)
Qatar
3%
(0%)
Saudi Arabia
0%
(0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files