arikattan

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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 24, 2020 05:48PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2020 07:17PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2020 07:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2020 07:20PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 675 Answer was correct
Between 675 and 750, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 750 but less than or equal to 825 Answer was incorrect
More than 825 but less than or equal to 900 Answer was incorrect
More than 900 Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2020 05:39PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2020 05:41PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 25, 2020 05:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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