Forecasted Questions
Which tech company will be the first to reach a market cap of $5 trillion?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 01:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 20, 2022 05:42PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 20, 2022 05:42PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 30% | 48% | -18% | +11% |
| Microsoft | 30% | 22% | +8% | +3% |
| Alphabet (Google) | 15% | 13% | +2% | -3% |
| Amazon | 20% | 10% | +10% | -5% |
| Tesla | 1% | 3% | -2% | -3% |
| Meta (Facebook) | 1% | 1% | +0% | -2% |
| Other | 3% | 2% | +1% | -1% |
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 25, 2022 07:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 25, 2022 07:25PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 20, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 20, 2022 03:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 20, 2022 03:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 26% | 16% | +10% | -6% |
| Samsung | 70% | 53% | +17% | -13% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 4% | 30% | -26% | +19% |
| Other | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in China in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2022 12:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 25, 2022 12:43PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 5% | 5% | 5% | +0% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 5% but less than 7% | 87% | 73% | +14% | +5% |
| More than or equal to 7% | 8% | 22% | -14% | -6% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the European Union and United Kingdom in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2022 12:46PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 25, 2022 12:46PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 7% | 49% | 43% | +6% | +1% |
| More than or equal to 7% but less than 10% | 49% | 53% | -4% | -1% |
| More than or equal to 10% | 2% | 4% | -2% | +0% |
What percentage of the world's AI patents will be granted in the United States in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2022 12:47PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 25, 2022 12:47PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 40% | 31% | 51% | -20% | -4% |
| More than or equal to 40% but less than 50% | 40% | 38% | +2% | +0% |
| More than or equal to 50% but less than 60% | 25% | 10% | +15% | +3% |
| More than or equal to 60% | 4% | 1% | +3% | +0% |
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 25, 2022 06:08PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 25, 2022 06:08PM UTC
(1 year ago)
What will be the price of the Dutch TTF futures monthly contracts between March 2022 and February 2023?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Mar 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 08, 2023 09:26AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Feb 08, 2023 09:26AM UTC
(1 year ago)