Forecasted Questions
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2022 04:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 26, 2022 04:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 08, 2022 04:07PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 08, 2022 04:07PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 28 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 28 and 30, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 30 but less than 32 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 32 and 35, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 35 | Answer was correct |
What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2022 06:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 24, 2022 06:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $240 | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $240 but less than $260 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $260 but less than $280 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $280 but less than $300 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $300 | Answer was incorrect |
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2022 07:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 24, 2022 07:21PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before January 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 | Answer was correct | |||
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Not before October 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect |
When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 26, 2022 08:03PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 26, 2022 08:03PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Before 1 April 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
Between 1 May 2022 and 31 May 2022, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Not before 1 June 2022 | Answer was incorrect |
What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 28, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 28, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 23, 2022 11:35AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 23, 2022 11:35AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $75 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $75 but less than $90 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $90 but less than $105 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $105 but less than $120 | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $120 | Answer was incorrect |
What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 23, 2022 11:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 23, 2022 11:36AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $3000 | Answer was correct | |||
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than or equal to $4000 | Answer was incorrect |
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?
As of Aug 23, 2022 11:46AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 23, 2022 11:46AM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 23, 2022 11:46AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 24, 2022 05:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
May 24, 2022 05:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 26, 2022 08:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 26, 2022 08:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |