Forecasted Questions
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 31, 2024 07:46PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 31, 2024 07:46PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
As of Mar 28, 2024 07:18AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2024 07:18AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 28, 2024 07:18AM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | 18% | -8% | +8% |
| No | 90% | Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | 82% | +8% | -8% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
As of Mar 28, 2024 07:18AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 28, 2024 07:18AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 28, 2024 07:18AM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | 2% | -1% | +1% |
| No | 99% | Feb 28, 2024 to Aug 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | 98% | +1% | -1% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Apr 30, 2024 04:04PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2024 04:04PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 30, 2024 04:04PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | Mar 30, 2024 to Sep 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | 1% | +1% | +0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
As of May 1, 2024 09:54PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 01, 2024 09:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 09:54PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 17% | Apr 1, 2024 to Oct 1, 2024 | May 1, 2024 | 10% | +7% | -2% |
| No | 83% | Apr 1, 2024 to Oct 1, 2024 | May 1, 2024 | 90% | -7% | +2% |
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
As of May 19, 2024 02:01PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 19, 2024 02:01PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 19, 2024 02:01PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | Apr 19, 2024 to Oct 19, 2024 | May 19, 2024 | 3% | +10% | +2% |
| No | 87% | Apr 19, 2024 to Oct 19, 2024 | May 19, 2024 | 97% | -10% | -2% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(18 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(18 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 24, 2024 07:07PM UTC
(25 days ago)
Apr 24, 2024 07:07PM UTC
(25 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |