INFER Public

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 23, 2022 02:56PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 27, 2022 09:10PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes, and it will pass		Answer was incorrect
Yes, and it will not pass		Answer was incorrect
No		Answer was correct

Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2022 04:34PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Sep 4, 2022 02:48AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 04, 2022 02:48AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will the Brothers of Italy Party (FdI) win the most seats in the 2022 Italian general election?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Sep 25, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 21, 2022 03:24PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 02, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 01, 2022 03:23AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

In the next edition of the Times Higher Education (THE) World University Rankings, will there be 6 or more Chinese universities with a research score of 60 or greater in computer science?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 26, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 04, 2022 02:21AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will Google score more wins than any other submitter in the next round of the MLPerf training benchmarking suite?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 05, 2022 09:17PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many total unique AI systems will Baidu and Alibaba submit for the next round of the MLPerf benchmarking suite?

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 16, 2022 05:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 10, 2022 04:05PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 4		Answer was correct
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 10		Answer was incorrect

Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 07, 2022 08:17AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

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