Javretro2000

About:
Show more
Forecasted Questions

Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Nov 19, 2023 11:18PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 19, 2023 11:18PM UTC
(7 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Oct 19, 2023 to Apr 19, 2024 Nov 19, 2023 1%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

As of Feb 8, 2024 11:25PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 08, 2024 11:25PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Jan 8, 2024 to Jul 8, 2024 Feb 8, 2024 3%
No 100% Jan 8, 2024 to Jul 8, 2024 Feb 8, 2024 97%

Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?

As of May 7, 2024 11:41PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 07, 2024 11:41PM UTC
(3 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 0% Feb 7, 2024 to Feb 7, 2025 May 7, 2024 8%
No 100% Feb 7, 2024 to Feb 7, 2025 May 7, 2024 92%
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username