Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 14, 2021 02:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 14, 2021 02:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 44% | 35% | +9% | +0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 06, 2021 04:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 06, 2021 04:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 15, 2022 08:18AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 15, 2022 08:18AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 14% | 1% | 3% | -2% | -3% |
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 12% | 12% | +0% | -5% |
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 33% | 31% | +2% | -3% |
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 37% | 40% | -3% | +9% |
More than 20% | 17% | 14% | +3% | +1% |
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 31, 2022 01:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jul 31, 2022 01:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 05, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 05, 2024 11:02AM UTC
(4 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(15 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 20, 2024 03:20PM UTC
(25 days ago)
Apr 20, 2024 03:20PM UTC
(25 days ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |