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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2020 11:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 6.5% Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2020 11:46PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2020 12:13PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect

What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2020 12:14PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $400 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $400 billion and $480 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $480 billion but less than or equal to $560 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $560 billion but less than or equal to $640 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $640 billion Answer was correct

Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2020 12:15PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 12, 2020 12:15PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 675 Answer was correct
Between 675 and 750, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 750 but less than or equal to 825 Answer was incorrect
More than 825 but less than or equal to 900 Answer was incorrect
More than 900 Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 10, 2020 11:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect
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