Forecasted Questions
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2024 | 8% | +0% | -6% |
| No | 92% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2024 | 92% | +0% | +6% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 10:56PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | May 30, 2024 | 15% | +13% | -8% |
| No | 72% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | May 30, 2024 | 85% | -13% | +8% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 11:15PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 11:15PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 4% | -4% | +0% |
| No | 100% | 96% | +4% | +0% |
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 11:22PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 11:22PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2024 | 7% | +1% | -1% |
| No | 92% | Apr 30, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025 | Jul 30, 2024 | 93% | -1% | +1% |