Forecasted Questions
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2024 05:12PM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:12PM UTC
(5 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Apr 14, 2024 08:14PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2024 08:14PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 14, 2024 08:14PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024 | Apr 14, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
As of Apr 14, 2024 08:16PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2024 08:16PM UTC
(2 months ago)
Mar 14, 2024 08:16PM UTC
(2 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 98% | Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024 | Apr 14, 2024 | 3% | +95% | +1% |
| No | 2% | Mar 14, 2024 to Sep 14, 2024 | Apr 14, 2024 | 97% | -95% | -1% |
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
As of May 9, 2024 10:43AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 09, 2024 10:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 09, 2024 10:43AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Apr 9, 2024 to Oct 9, 2024 | May 9, 2024 | 3% | -3% | +2% |
| No | 100% | Apr 9, 2024 to Oct 9, 2024 | May 9, 2024 | 97% | +3% | -2% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(19 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(19 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 10:55PM UTC
(20 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 10:55PM UTC
(20 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |