74th
Accuracy Rank

ansantillan

Andrés Santillán Reich
About:

Just graduated from university. I am currently an advisor on parliamentary diplomacy in the Mexican Senate. Interested in geopolitics mainly, however, I have growing interests in blockchain technology and new innovative techs. Trying to learn from the best.

Twitter LinkedIn
Show more
View All Badges »
Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 09, 2022 04:09AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 28 Answer was incorrect
Between 28 and 30, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 30 but less than 32 Answer was incorrect
Between 32 and 35, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 35 Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 31, 2022 12:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?

Forecast Count:
 13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 25, 2022 03:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before 1 April 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 1 May 2022 and 31 May 2022, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Not before 1 June 2022 Answer was incorrect

What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 03, 2022 03:03PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $240 Answer was correct
More than or equal to $240 but less than $260 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $260 but less than $280 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $280 but less than $300 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $300 Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Aug 20, 2022 03:12PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 20, 2022 03:12PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 28, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 24, 2022 06:01PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $75 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $75 but less than $90 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $90 but less than $105 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $105 but less than $120 Answer was correct
More than or equal to $120 Answer was incorrect

What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 26, 2022 10:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $3000 Answer was correct
More than or equal to $3000 but less than $3500 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $3500 but less than $4000 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $4000 Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 29, 2022 03:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

As of Jul 11, 2022 06:20PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 11, 2022 06:20PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 22, 2022 03:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 200 million Answer was incorrect
More than 200 million but less than 250 million Answer was incorrect
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 300 million Answer was correct
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel