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Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 30, 2022 05:30PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2022 04:05PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2022 04:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2022 04:10PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 07, 2022 11:19PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft?

As of Jan 18, 2023 07:53PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 18, 2022 07:53PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 19, 2022 10:12PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
1 Answer was incorrect
2 Answer was incorrect
3 Answer was incorrect
4 or lower Answer was correct

Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 17, 2023 09:36AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 17, 2023 09:45AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 25, 2023 01:04PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 200 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400 Answer was correct
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000 Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 1000 Answer was incorrect
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