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Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 02, 2020 09:45PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 02:47AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.3 Answer was incorrect
Between 0.3 and 0.6, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 0.6 but less than or equal to 0.9 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.9 but less than or equal to 1.2 Answer was correct
More than 1.2 Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 02:50AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 02:52AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was correct
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was incorrect
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $1.1 billion Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 02:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 02:58AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 03:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 03:01AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 03:02AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 03, 2020 03:06AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 6.5% Answer was incorrect
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