Forecasted Questions
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 12:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 19% | 14% | +5% | +0% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 32% | 31% | +1% | +0% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 30% | 33% | -3% | +0% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 13% | 17% | -4% | 0% |
| More than 0.5 | 6% | 4% | +2% | 0% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 12:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 12:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 23, 2022 07:03PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 23, 2022 07:03PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2022 04:49PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 31, 2022 04:49PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 30% | 16% | +14% | +1% |
| Samsung | 40% | 53% | -13% | +0% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 15% | 30% | -15% | -1% |
| Other | 15% | 0% | +15% | +0% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 19, 2023 05:44PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 19, 2023 05:44PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 0% | +5% | -1% |
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Apr 4, 2024 03:42AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 04, 2024 03:42AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Mar 04, 2024 03:42AM UTC
(3 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Mar 4, 2024 to Sep 4, 2024 | Apr 4, 2024 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
As of May 8, 2024 10:31PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 08, 2024 10:31PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 08, 2024 10:31PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024 | May 8, 2024 | 10% | -10% | -1% |
| No | 100% | Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024 | May 8, 2024 | 90% | +10% | +1% |
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
As of May 8, 2024 10:31PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 08, 2024 10:31PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 08, 2024 10:31PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024 | May 8, 2024 | 3% | -3% | +1% |
| No | 100% | Apr 8, 2024 to Oct 8, 2024 | May 8, 2024 | 97% | +3% | -1% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(17 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 30, 2024 08:51PM UTC
(17 days ago)
Apr 30, 2024 08:51PM UTC
(17 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |