INFER Public

Forecasted Questions

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2021 10:40PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 2%	5%	7%	-2%	+0%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive	32%	23%	+9%	+0%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6%	27%	33%	-6%	+0%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8%	22%	21%	+1%	+0%
More than 8%	14%	16%	-2%	+0%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 12:16AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 12:17AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 23, 2022 10:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the number of Defense Innovation Unit transitions change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 02, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2022 07:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 14, 2022 07:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 01, 2022 01:06AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 26, 2022 05:54AM UTC
(1 year ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Intel	25%	16%	+9%	-13%
Samsung	65%	53%	+12%	-8%
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)	8%	30%	-22%	+21%
Other	2%	0%	+2%	+0%

Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2023 11:06PM UTC
(6 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	1%	0%	+1%	+0%

Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?

As of Feb 29, 2024 11:19PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2023 11:19PM UTC
(6 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	2%	Nov 30, 2023 to May 30, 2024	Feb 29, 2024	0%	+2%	-2%